Sunday 9 September 2012

Thursday 6th Sept 2012


Ok, first the numbers:

Overall market volume was higher at 1,913,583,820 with turnover valued at $5,069,541,652

Sector
Up
Down
Unchanged
Total
Industrials
281
210
149
640
Resources
157
143
147
447
Energy
81
50
47
178
Total
519
403
343
1265

Sectors in the XJO performed as follows:

Security
Description
%
MktCap($)
XDJ
XJO 25 Discretion
1.70%
$     55,516,984,951.63
XEJ
XJO 10 Energy
1.37%
$     83,761,148,134.08
XFJ
XJO 40 Financials
0.36%
$  444,357,505,672.24
XHJ
XJO 35 HealthCare
-0.47%
$     50,164,314,256.05
XIJ
XJO 45 Info Tech
2.27%
$       7,883,592,859.39
XMJ
XJO 15 Materials
1.62%
$  219,826,243,344.27
XNJ
XJO 20 Industrial
1.18%
$     77,506,131,888.32
XPJ
XJO A-REIT
0.97%
$     80,045,016,361.03
XSJ
XJO 30 Staples
0.99%
$     92,141,687,788.92
XTJ
XJO 50 Telecoms
0.06%
$     53,938,076,077.46
XUJ
XJO 55 Utilities
0.17%
$     23,134,317,392.96
XXJ
XJO FinxREIT
0.23%
$  364,312,489,311.21

ASX200
Biggest Losers:

Security
Last
+/-
%
FMG
297
-15
-4.81%
NWH
213
-10
-4.48%
EHL
66.5
-2
-2.92%
TEN
36.5
-1
-2.67%
ARI
57
-1.5
-2.56%
VAH
44
-1
-2.22%
IDL
118.5
-2.5
-2.07%

And the Winners:

Security
Last
+/-
%
LYC
84
24.5
41.18%
BLY
127
16
14.41%
BPT
126
10.75
9.33%
LNC
59
5
9.26%
GBG
30
2.5
9.09%
MML
573
45
8.52%
KAR
434
34
8.50%
ALQ
799
62
8.41%
IMD
126.5
9.5
8.12%
BBG
136.5
9.5
7.48%
QAN
120
7.5
6.67%
MGX
73
4.5
6.57%
SAR
41.5
2.5
6.41%
MDL
548
33
6.41%
AWE
153
9
6.25%
PRU
271
15
5.86%
AGO
127
7
5.83%
SDL
28
1.5
5.66%
AWC
75
4
5.63%
WSA
395
21
5.61%
MIN
680
36
5.59%
PNA
269
14
5.49%
DML
92.5
4.5
5.11%
TRY
441
21
5.00%

Relatively broad based gains today, with almost all sectors showing gains, helathcare was the only laggard – with CSL and RHC dragging on the sector.

Interestingly, the Steel sector – including the iron ore miners, actually had some green on the screen today! We still had the daily FMG flogging – with it getting as low as $2.81 at one point, before rallying somewhat to close down only 4.81%, worst of the XJO.

Unemployment figures were released today – with the surprise being a fall in the headline rate to 5.1%. The problem here is that the fall is attributed to a fall in the participation rate, which tends be be “stickier” and harder to increase when growth accelerates.

Regarding the widely held theory of a Two-Speed Economy, SA, QLD and WA all showed increases in unemployment, which may be attributed to the first effects of the mining slowdown being felt. The impact of the unexpected fall means that there is one less reason for the RBA to cut rates next month, and consequently, the AUD promptly rose – and is now around $1.0228USD. Despite the change, it seems that most are still tipping another cut before the end of the year, however this result may have given the RBA room to pause and reassess in another month.

Rates
August
July
Year     Ago
Unemployment Rate
5.10%
5.20%
5.30%
Full-time Employed
8.07m
8.07m
8.04m
Part-time Employed
3.43m
3.44m
3.4m
Unemployed
622,600
633,200
635,000
Participation Rate
65.00%
65.20%
65.60%




State
August
July
Year Ago
NSW
4.8%
5.2%
5.5%
Vic
5.6%
5.4%
5.2%
Qld
5.9%
5.8%
6.1%
SA
5.7%
5.4%
5.1%
WA
3.9%
3.7%
4.3%
Tas
6.8%
6.5%
5.2%

Other big news includes the facts that BBG announced that they received a $1.45/share takeover – this matches the previous offer that was on the table from TPG.

LYC surged off news that they received approval for a temporary operating license for its Malaysian operations.

Everyone is on hold waiting for the news out of the EU  - Draghi will announce the ECB rates and absent any shocks in the announcement, the important information will be contained within his remarks.

The US Labour Department will release first time applications for unemployment benefits – 373k is expected.

Other major news will likely revolve around US politics, with the Democratic National Party’s Convention continuing.

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