Wednesday 19 September 2012

Wednesday 19th Sept 2012 (Afternoon)


Broadly positive day on the market with the Info Tech and Materials sectors leading the way. The A-REITs were the only sector in the red today, although there was a bit of red spotted around the screen. There were relatively fewer large movers today, which is surprising given the volume traded. The late rally was due to the announcement from the Bank of Japan, indicating that they would add 10 Trillion Yen to their asset purchase plan.

Total Value traded was 5,736,285,828 and volume was 2,015,654,826

Sector
Up
Down
Unchanged
Total
Industrials
250
205
163
618
Resources
210
142
143
495
Energy
64
60
57
181
Total
524
407
363
1294

If we look at today on a sector basis:

Security
Description
%
 MktCap($)
XMJ
XJO 15 Materials
1.2505
 $      246,441,723,595.81
XEJ
XJO 10 Energy
0.1481
 $         86,817,366,208.11
XNJ
XJO 20 Industrial
0.188
 $         79,413,263,529.67
XJO
S&P/ASX 200
0.5384
 $   1,140,018,400,033.20
XTJ
XJO 50 Telecoms
0.4848
 $         53,350,861,967.08
XXJ
XJO FinxREIT
0.3028
 $      371,565,908,425.03
XHJ
XJO 35 HealthCare
1.2371
 $         48,365,937,544.97
XFJ
XJO 40 Financials
0.1929
 $      450,498,535,119.27
XUJ
XJO 55 Utilities
0.745
 $         22,103,855,403.42
XIJ
XJO 45 Info Tech
1.2971
 $           7,678,665,845.83
XDJ
XJO 25 Discretion
0.1205
 $         56,046,261,597.89
XPJ
XJO A-REIT
-0.3669
 $         78,932,626,694.24
XSJ
XJO 30 Staples
0.72
 $         89,301,929,221.13

The big winners today were:

Security
Description
Last
+/-
%
ARI
Arrium Ltd
60
4.5
8.1081
KAR
Karoon Gas Australia
550
41
8.055
SBM
St Barbara Limited
219
14
6.8293
GRY
Gryphon Minerals Ltd
94
6
6.8182
KCN
Kingsgate Consolid.
587
35
6.3406
ACR
Acrux Limited
340
19
5.919
AGO
Atlas Iron Limited
168.5
9
5.6426
FMG
Fortescue Metals Grp
369
19
5.4286
AQA
Aquila Resources
289
14
5.0909
LNC
Linc Energy Ltd
78
3.5
4.698
APN
APN News & Media
33.5
1.5
4.6875
BLD
Boral Limited
387
17
4.5946
BTU
Bathurst Resources
41.5
1.5
3.75
EWC
Energy World Corpor.
43.5
1.5
3.5714
PAN
Panoramic Resources
60
2
3.4483
IAU
Intrepid Mines
46
1.5
3.3708
MIN
Mineral Resources.
800
25
3.2258
ILU
Iluka Resources
1125
35
3.211
NCM
Newcrest Mining
2996
91
3.1325
IMD
Imdex Limited
165
5
3.125
BKN
Bradken Limited
570
17
3.0741
GBG
Gindalbie Metals Ltd
36
1
2.8571
SLR
Silver Lake Resource
370
10
2.7778
CDU
Cudeco Limited
492
13
2.714
BPT
Beach Energy Limited
133
3.5
2.7027
RRL
Regis Resources
539
14
2.6667
DML
Discovery Metals Ltd
133
3
2.3077
SAR
Saracen Mineral
44.5
1
2.2989
OZL
OZ Minerals
728
16
2.2472
SMX
SMS Management.
664
14
2.1538
MML
Medusa Mining Ltd
636
13
2.0867
EVN
Evolution Mining Ltd
196
4
2.0833

And the losers:

Security
Description
Last
+/-
%
MAH
Macmahon Holdings
32.5
-20.5
-38.6792
AQP
Aquarius Platinum.
81
-4.5
-5.2632
DCG
Decmil Group Limited
302
-13
-4.127
GFF
Goodman Fielder.
51
-1.5
-2.8571
GWA
GWA Group Ltd
180
-5
-2.7027
IPL
Incitec Pivot
289
-7
-2.3649
SIP
Sigma Pharmaceutical
66
-1.5
-2.2222
SXY
Senex Energy Limited
69
-1.5
-2.1277
MDL
Mineral Deposits
578
-12
-2.0339

Interesting decision by Japan today to add to the global round of monetary stimulus – this is starting to feel like a “keeping up with the Jones’s – Central Bankers Edition” scenario. With the amount of stimulus that has been generated in the past week, one has to wonder whether the return will be worth it.

Another quiet night economically, only really US Real Estate Data to look forward to (Building Permits, Housing Starts and Existing Home Sales).

Around 1:30am Sydney time we will also see the release of Crude Oil Inventories in the US, which may give some indication as to the reasons behind the $3.00 drop in Oil futures the other day.

Newcrest closed at $29.96 today, the high for the day, on the back of a rise in the spot gold price. It’s interesting to note however that since late July, the stock has rebounded almost 50%. There was no shortage of bad news announcements and downgrades as the stock plummeted since March, but it has received considerably less coverage by the media during its surprisingly resilient rally. The moves recently have closed some of the performance gap between NCM and GOLD, however there is still some way to go – particularly if theBrokers and Analysts start to get on board.

FMG had another strong day, with the stock tracking up $0.19, however it would not surprise me to see some profit taking towards the weekend, the last two weeks have been a particularly wild ride, and I expect that some people who bought in recently might have bitten off a bit more volatility than expected.

MAH downgraded their earnings guidance today, and lost a quick 38% off the share price. There were several interesting outtakes from the announcement, but the key point for me was the reduction in the estimate of the volume of new work that is expected to be undertaken this financial year. Interestingly, DCG was also among the market’s worst today, perhaph in sympathy with it’s industry partner.

The mining services industry is one where there are several, well run, profitable businesses that have seen their share price dramatically fall since the recent cutbacks in mining projects. This is a subsector which may well provide a leveraged exposure to the resources sector if China’s growth picks up as we see the mining boom resume. Comparable stocks include:
o   FGE        Forge Group Limited
o   GCS        Global Construction
o   GNG      Gr Engineering Ltd
o   LEI          Leighton Holdings
o   LYL          Lycopodium Limited
o   MAH      Macmahon Holdings
o   MLD       MACA Limited
o   MND     Monadelphous Group
o   MYE       Mastermyne Group Ltd
o   NWH     NRW Holdings Limited
o   RCR        RCR Tomlinson
o   SDM      Sedgman Limited
o   SSM       Service Stream
o   SWK       Swick Mining
o   SWL       Seymour Whyte Ltd
o   SXE         Sth Crs Elect Engnr
o   UGL       UGL Limited
o   WDS      WDS Limited
o   WTP       Watpac Limited
Please note, these names were simply lifted from the ASX and do not constitute a recommendation. 

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